Polyx
How it works
Log In
Sign Up
Prediction markets
9 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Good day
99%
Productivity
99%
36 more
$185K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
61%
September Meeting
54%
3 more
$1.76M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
64 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
64%
Pause–Pause–Pause
34%
7 more
$597K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
52%
Pause–Pause–Pause
42%
7 more
$642K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
63 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
63%
25 bps increase
23%
3 more
$373K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$40
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
37%
1 (25 bps)
32%
4 more
$71K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$68
42 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$457.43
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
39 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
44 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Markets
Search
Activity
More